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Prediction market analysis app layering LLMs with data APIs

Prediction market analysis app layering LLMs with data APIs

by noplace1ikegone·Apr 27, 2026·2 points·5 comments

AI Analysis

MidShip ItBold Bet

AI analysis layer for Kalshi and Polymarket contracts when manual research works fine.

Strengths
  • Aggregates diverse data APIs (FRED, NWS, CoinGecko) into one analysis pipeline.
  • iOS native experience for on-the-go market checking.
Weaknesses
  • LLM financial advice is inherently risky and hallucination-prone.
  • No clear edge over reading contract comments directly.
Category
Target Audience

Prediction market traders, retail investors

Similar To

Kalshi · Polymarket · Manifold Markets

Post Description

I created a prediction market analysis app after trying prediction markets and doing quite poorly. I wondered if AI-driven predictions could be better with the right data. Depending on the model you use the answer swings wildly between definitely not and yes. Gemini 3 Flash and Sonnet have done well with complex pipeline analysis instructions. Examples of some data apis are FRED, the NWS, Open-Meteo, CoinGecko, congress.gov. I also incorporated general search queries with Serper and Tavily.

In full disclosure, I got maybe too ambitious and prepped it as an iOS product with monetization features. I am a vibe coder from a non-technical background and this is the first thing I created, so I would love critical feedback.

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