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I simulated closing the Strait of Hormuz on real oil trade data

I simulated closing the Strait of Hormuz on real oil trade data

by eliotho·Jul 23, 2026·244 points·128 comments
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AI Analysis

●●●BangerWizardryNiche Gem

Fluid-stochastic network clearing on real UN trade data makes geopolitical shocks feel terrifyingly concrete.

Strengths
  • •Skorokhod inventory dynamics model buffer depletion mechanically without arbitrary rationing policies.
  • •Endogenous pricing engine recalculates clearing prices as trade routes degrade or collapse.
  • •Visualizes bypass infrastructure capacity like Habshan–Fujairah pipelines during Strait of Hormuz blockades.
Weaknesses
  • •Sanctioned and unreported trade flows are explicitly excluded, limiting accuracy for some scenarios.
  • •No API access to simulation results prevents programmatic integration with other analysis tools.
Category
Data
Target Audience

Economists, supply chain analysts, and policy researchers

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